OpteroAI
Outcome-validated predictions

Do higher scores lead to more offers?

We track what happens after every application. Here is the data proving that higher offer scores correlate with better outcomes.

1,423 applications tracked across all score bands

Score BandApplicationsInterview RateOffer RateConfidence
80-1005700%0%High
60-798530%0%High
40-5900%0%Low
0-3900%0%Low

Offer rate by score band

80-100
0%
570 apps
60-79
0%
853 apps
40-59
0%
0 apps
0-39
0%
0 apps

How we measure this

Outcome detection

Outcomes are detected three ways: users update application statuses manually, our Gmail integration classifies recruiter emails (offers, rejections, interview invites), and the browser extension picks up status changes from job boards.

What counts as an outcome

An application reaches "interview" status when any round is scheduled. It reaches "offer" when a written offer is received. We count both offer and accepted statuses toward the offer rate.

Sample coverage

Data reflects applications tracked across all users with outcome reporting enabled. Geography skews toward India and the US, with growing coverage in the UK, Canada, and Southeast Asia. Results update monthly.

Score assignment

Every application is scored 0-100 at the time of tracking based on profile-job fit, company hiring patterns, salary alignment, and historical outcome data. The score is recorded as the predicted_score before the outcome is known.

Confidence levels

Not all score bands have the same number of data points. We label each band so you know how much to trust the numbers.

High

More than 50 tracked applications in this band. Rates are statistically meaningful.

Medium

Between 10 and 50 applications. Directionally useful but expect some variance.

Low

Fewer than 10 applications. Too early to draw conclusions. We show the data for transparency.

Apply where your odds are highest

Stop guessing which roles will respond. OpteroAI scores every listing so you focus on the ones most likely to convert.

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